Calibration
Track record of Resolution Risk Scores.
Pays If files a Memo with a pre-resolution Resolution Risk Score on every market it reads. After the market resolves, the score is reviewed against the actual outcome. Every entry is published here.
Pays If is new. Calibration entries appear here as Memos filed pre-resolution complete their resolution cycle. The ledger tracks every dimension of every Memo against the actual settlement.
Two existing public Memos demonstrate the methodology against already-resolved markets: